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Can Lennar's Tech Bets Like Opendoor Drive Future Value?

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Key Takeaways

  • Lennar's ASP dropped 6.7% year over year to $393K, pressuring revenues in a tight housing market.
  • The Opendoor Trade-Up program aims to ease affordability hurdles by streamlining home sales for Lennar buyers.
  • AI-driven tools like the Lennar Machine could boost efficiency and margins in the long term for Lennar.

Lennar Corporation (LEN - Free Report) is stuck amid the housing market weakness as homebuyers are oscillating between high mortgage rate challenges and new home ownership. Moreover, to ease the pain of homebuyers, its initiative of lowering the ASP of home deliveries is pulling its top line downward. As of the first nine months of fiscal 2025, the ASP of home deliveries was $393,000, down 6.7% year over year from $421,000, leading to home sale revenues of $23.24 billion, down from $24.28 billion reported a year ago.

However, Lennar has been consistently figuring out ways to squeeze itself out of this misery while creating value for the homebuyers. One of the efforts includes its long-standing partnership with Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN - Free Report) , which reportedly started in 2018 and evolved into a Trade-Up program simplifying the homebuying process for Lennar customers. Per the Trade-Up program, Lennar’s homebuyers will be eligible to sell their existing houses to Opendoor in exchange for the financial help required to buy a new Lennar house. In today’s United States housing market, this initiative proves to be a breath of fresh air, as high mortgage rate risks are far from normalizing any time soon.

Moreover, LEN’s proprietary, AI-powered digital sales and marketing platform, Lennar Machine, allows it to maintain targeted absorption rates and control inventory more effectively, especially during market volatility. Simultaneously, Lennar is developing a high-tech land management platform in partnership with Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR - Free Report) . This system aims to improve the efficiency of land acquisition, development and delivery, enabling the company to scale its asset-light model with greater control and reduced cost.

Summing up, if Lennar manages to realize the efficiencies from the tech initiatives, improve customer experience and keep costs under control, its profitability prospects are expected to ramp up in the upcoming terms.

Lennar’s Competition in the Homebuilding Market

Lennar faces substantial competition from D.R. Horton (DHI - Free Report) , though the balance is nuanced.

While D.R. Horton leads in sheer volume as America’s largest homebuilder and enjoys deep scale advantages, including vertical integration in financing through DHI Mortgage, Lennar has been more aggressive in deploying technology to differentiate its offerings and internal operations. D.R. Horton’s sheer scale and control over land and capital still grant it potent advantages in negotiating costs, absorbing regional downturns and pushing volume incentives.

Thus, Lennar does hold a partial competitive edge relative to D.R. Horton in the domain of technological innovation and differentiated product delivery. To sustain its lead, LEN must translate its tech initiatives into consistent cost savings, faster cycles and stronger margins at scale.

LEN Stock’s Price Performance & Valuation Trend

Shares of this Florida-based homebuilding company have gained 5.2% in the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Building Products - Home Builders industry and the broader Zacks Construction sector, but underperforming the S&P 500 index.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

LEN stock is currently trading at a premium compared with its industry peers, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13, as shown in the chart below.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Earnings Estimate Revision of LEN

LEN’s earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2026 have moved down over the past 30 days to $8.58 and $9.22 per share, respectively, depicting analysts’ concerns about the stock’s growth potential.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The estimated figure for fiscal 2025 indicates a year-over-year decline of 38.1%, while that of fiscal 2026 reflects an improvement of 7.5%.

Lennar stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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